Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.072259 0.080086 0.088684 0.098881 0.110708 0.124073 0.140428
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.059909 0.070341 0.082744 0.098776 0.119250 0.144938 0.180299
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.052241 0.064130 0.079172 0.100035 0.128955 0.168803 0.230114
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.046738 0.059450 0.076365 0.101251 0.138290 0.193837 0.288870
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.042475 0.055627 0.073876 0.102113 0.146857 0.219369 0.356751
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.038838 0.052104 0.071165 0.101953 0.153498 0.243114 0.430206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.035582 0.048694 0.068089 0.100583 0.157648 0.263317 0.504918
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.033640 0.046968 0.067277 0.102612 0.167888 0.297374 0.625840
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.031214 0.044247 0.064560 0.100954 0.170933 0.317749 0.724612
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.029629 0.042668 0.063477 0.101941 0.179184 0.351669 0.881494
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.027923 0.040739 0.061600 0.101183 0.183693 0.378351 1.035856
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.026786 0.039627 0.060975 0.102658 0.193202 0.420592 1.280798
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025677 0.038496 0.060246 0.103913 0.202743 0.467340 1.598678
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024421 0.037023 0.058775 0.103495 0.208373 0.505631 1.931767
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023505 0.036061 0.058135 0.104704 0.218297 0.561783 2.454758
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022670 0.035175 0.057548 0.105940 0.228626 0.624720 3.160468
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021862 0.034276 0.056851 0.106832 0.238298 0.690922 4.083559
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020997 0.033214 0.055745 0.106652 0.244981 0.749874 5.163198
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020062 0.031966 0.054172 0.105193 0.247654 0.794290 6.294340
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019575 0.031508 0.054128 0.107346 0.261859 0.900201 8.947747
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018733 0.030338 0.052553 0.105584 0.263346 0.946670 11.027715
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.018218 0.029751 0.052129 0.106632 0.274400 1.052185 15.741555
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017567 0.028871 0.051026 0.105828 0.279028 1.126713 21.031930